10 Aug · 02:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JB
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Badura
ELO 1536
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1602
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+66
H2H9-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-0)