10 Aug · 02:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1255
FormLLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Baron
MB
🇵🇱Mariusz Baron
ELO 1474
FormWWLLW
28%
72%
🌟Baron rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (51)
Fair odds · Baron
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 63% · 1.59· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+219
H2H8-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+219)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-6)