10 Aug · 03:35 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1364
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Adach
RO
🇵🇱Rafal Ogon
ELO 1235
FormLLLLW
64%
36%
Fair odds · Adach
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+129
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+129)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)