10 Aug · 03:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1393
FormWLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
44%
56%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 60% · 1.67· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+57
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)