10 Aug · 04:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1523
FormWLWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Schaniel
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1450
FormLLLLW
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Urban🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 51% · 1.97· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+73
H2H54-40
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (54-40)