10 Aug · 05:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1264
FormWLLLW
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Schaniel
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1523
FormWLWWW
24%
76%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
28%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+259
H2H11-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+259)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (11-3)