10 Aug · 05:55 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1449
FormLWLLL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Szostok
SS
🇵🇱Sebastian Szostok
ELO 1546
FormWLWWW
39%
61%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Szostok
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+97
H2H28-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+97)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-10)