10 Aug · 08:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1172
FormLLLLL
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Skupinski
AS
🇵🇱Arkadiusz Skupinski
ELO 1370
FormLWLWL
29%
71%
Fair odds · Skupinski
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~75 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+198
H2H16-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+198)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-9)