10 Aug · 07:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BW
🇵🇱Blazej Warpas
ELO 1357
FormLLWWW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
33%
67%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 69% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+159
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+159)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)