10 Aug · 08:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KS
🇵🇱Karol Sulkowski
ELO 1350
FormWWLWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Stapor
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1516
FormWWWLL
32%
68%
🌟Stapor goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Stapor
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~76 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+166
H2H13-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+166)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-12)