10 Aug · 08:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1212
FormWLLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1510
FormWWWWL
21%
79%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 75% · 1.34· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~76 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+298
H2H8-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+298)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-2)