10 Aug · 08:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1602
FormLWWLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wichowski
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1481
FormWLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 65% · 1.54· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+121
H2H34-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-19)