10 Aug · 09:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1168
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Maszczynski
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1226
FormWWLLW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Maszczynski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+58
H2H3-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)