10 Aug · 11:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1490
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Pelka
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1421
FormLLLWL
58%
42%
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.72· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~80 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+69
H2H17-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+69)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)