10 Aug · 10:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
WS
🇵🇱Witold Stechly
ELO 1171
FormWLLLL
81%Win chancemodel fair 1.23Michalik
JM
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1499
FormWLWWW
19%
81%
Fair odds · Michalik
Model 81% · 1.23vsMarket 73% · 1.36· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 69%Total ~74 pts
0-3
40%
1-3
28%
2-3
12%
3-2
9%
3-1
7%
Elo Gap+328
H2H39-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+328)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-15)