10 Aug · 10:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1492
2-3Final setsNowak won
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1370
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Pelka at 63%. The actual result was Jakub Nowak 2-3 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Nowak favoured — closing 1.7
Total 77.5
105 points played
Set handicap
Nowak −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Nowak −1.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jerzy Pelka is favoured to win, below means Jakub Nowak.
▲ Jerzy Pelkapre 61% → final 26%
Jakub Nowak ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsNowak recovered from 9%72 points · 5 games