10 Aug · 13:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1576
FormWWWWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Brud
JG
🇵🇱Jakub Glanowski
ELO 1499
FormWWWWL
58%
42%
🔥 Underdog lean · Glanowski🌟Brud goes over total as favourite 72% (18)
Fair odds · Brud
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H13-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-9)