10 Aug · 13:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1632
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jarocki
LJ
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1634
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Jarocki
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H16-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.