10 Aug · 14:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1370
FormWLLLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Pelka
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1492
FormLWWWL
37%
63%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Pelka
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+122
H2H18-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+122)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-10)