10 Aug · 15:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1408
FormLLLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Tobiasz
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1473
FormWWWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 53% · 1.89· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+65
H2H46-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+65)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (46-26)