10 Aug · 15:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1657
FormWLLLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Poliniewicz
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1660
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Poliniewicz goes over total as favourite 69% (13)
Fair odds · Poliniewicz
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H9-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.