10 Aug · 16:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1639
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sklensky
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1657
FormWLLLL
48%
52%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H37-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.