10 Aug · 18:55 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇵🇱Michal Krutak
ELO 1626
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1655
FormLLWWW
47%
53%
🌟Krutak covers set handicap as underdog 69% (16)
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 36% · 2.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+29
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.