10 Aug · 17:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1350
FormLLLWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1597
FormWLWLW
25%
75%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 79% · 1.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~77 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+247
H2H18-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+247)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-3)