10 Aug · 20:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1653
FormLWLWL
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Sklensky
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Chmielowski
ELO 1550
FormLLLLL
61%
39%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~77 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
22%
1-3
15%
3-2
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+103
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+103)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)