10 Aug · 19:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LJ
🇵🇱Lukasz Jarocki
ELO 1627
FormLWLLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Glazowski
KG
🇵🇱Kacper Glazowski
ELO 1641
FormWLWWW
48%
52%
🌟Glazowski goes over total as favourite 72% (47)
Fair odds · Glazowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H25-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.