11 Aug · 00:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Miroslaw Lewczuk
ELO 1565
FormLWLWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Tkaczyk
HT
🇵🇱Henryk Tkaczyk
ELO 1656
FormWLWWW
40%
60%
🌟Tkaczyk stays under total as favourite 71% (45)
Fair odds · Tkaczyk
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+91
H2H34-12
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+91)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-12)