10 Aug · 23:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Kacper Kwiatkowski
ELO 1438
FormWLLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Warzecha
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1655
FormLLWWW
28%
72%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~74 pts
0-3
31%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+217
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+217)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)