10 Aug · 18:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JP
🇵🇱Jerzy Pelka
ELO 1487
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Wichowski
GW
🇵🇱Grzegorz Wichowski
ELO 1597
FormWLWLW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Wichowski
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H34-20
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-20)