10 Aug · 19:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1487
FormWWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1527
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+40
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.