10 Aug · 19:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1350
FormLLLWL
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Tobiasz
WT
🇵🇱Wojciech Tobiasz
ELO 1483
FormWLWWW
36%
64%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 62% (37)
Fair odds · Tobiasz
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~79 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+133
H2H7-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)