10 Aug · 18:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
DM
🇵🇱Dariusz Maszczynski
ELO 1231
FormLWLWW
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1527
FormWLLLW
21%
79%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 92% · 1.08· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 62%Total ~75 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+296
H2H4-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+296)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-1)