10 Aug · 18:35 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1280
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1332
FormLWLWW
44%
56%
🌟Strus goes over total as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 52% · 1.91· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~81 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+52
H2H27-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-15)