10 Aug · 20:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PS
🇵🇱Piotr Strus
ELO 1270
FormLLLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Kowalczyk
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1387
FormLWWLL
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Strus🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H39-32
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (39-32)