10 Aug · 21:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1581
FormWWWLW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1461
FormLWWLW
63%
37%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
16%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+120
H2H72-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+120)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (72-29)