10 Aug · 21:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MK
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1378
FormLLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kowalczyk
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1333
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Kowalczyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 23% (26)
Fair odds · Kowalczyk
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 37% · 2.71· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+45
H2H9-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+45)