10 Aug · 22:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1260
FormLLLLW
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1455
FormLLWWL
30%
70%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
26%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+195
H2H7-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+195)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-1)