11 Aug · 00:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JZ
🇵🇱Jacek Zelezik
ELO 1619
FormWWLLL
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Zelezik
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
59%
41%
Fair odds · Zelezik
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+83
H2H17-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-6)