11 Aug · 00:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1600
FormWWWWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Gumulinski
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1448
FormLWLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)