11 Aug · 01:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JC
🇵🇱Jakub Cyndera
ELO 1504
FormLWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Kubiak
AK
🇵🇱Artur Kubiak
ELO 1536
FormWWWLW
46%
54%
🌟Kubiak stays under total as favourite 65% (57)
Fair odds · Kubiak
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H5-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.