11 Aug · 01:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1253
FormLLLLL
70%Win chancemodel fair 1.43Niemiec
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1447
FormWLLWL
30%
70%
🌟Niemiec goes over total as favourite 66% (38)
Fair odds · Niemiec
Model 70% · 1.43vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
0-3
30%
1-3
25%
2-3
15%
3-2
12%
3-1
11%
Elo Gap+194
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+194)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)