11 Aug · 03:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1599
FormLWLWL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Adamus
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1447
FormWLLWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 51% · 1.96· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+152
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+152)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)