11 Aug · 03:10 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gumulinski
ELO 1579
FormLLWWW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Gumulinski
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1489
FormWWWWL
60%
40%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 68% (19)
Fair odds · Gumulinski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 76% · 1.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 43%Total ~79 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+90
H2H73-29
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (73-29)