11 Aug · 02:50 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1529
FormWLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Schaniel
RN
🇵🇱Rafal Niemiec
ELO 1447
FormWLLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Schaniel
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 48% · 2.09· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~78 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+82
H2H3-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+82)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-0)