11 Aug · 06:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1555
FormLLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kosmal
DK
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1642
FormWWWLW
41%
59%
🌟Brud goes over total as underdog 64% (28)
Fair odds · Kosmal
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+87
H2H7-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+87)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (7-4)