11 Aug · 06:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1600
FormWWLWW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Hetnar
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1460
FormWLWWW
65%
35%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 72% (25)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+140
H2H17-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+140)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (17-7)