11 Aug · 06:25 MESZLow · Coin Flip
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1420
FormLLLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vincenec
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1420
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vincenec🌟Vincenec goes over total as favourite 67% (27)
Fair odds · Vincenec
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 36% · 2.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+0
H2H15-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.