11 Aug · 06:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1595
FormWLWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
KS
🇵🇱Krzysztof Schaniel
ELO 1520
FormWLWLW
58%
42%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
18%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H17-26
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)