11 Aug · 07:05 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
IS
🇵🇱Igor Szymanski
ELO 1250
FormWLLLL
74%Win chancemodel fair 1.35Urban
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1490
FormLWWWW
26%
74%
🌟Urban rarely covers set handicap as favourite 30% (33)
Fair odds · Urban
Model 74% · 1.35vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
15%
3-2
11%
3-1
10%
Elo Gap+240
H2H8-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+240)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-1)