11 Aug · 07:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1605
FormWWWLW
71%Win chancemodel fair 1.41Hetnar
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1402
FormWLLWW
71%
29%
🌟Kaczmarek covers set handicap as underdog 68% (56)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 71% · 1.41vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 56%Total ~76 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+203
H2H57-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+203)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (57-3)